Further analysis of causal connections
By Special K
Disassociated Press
July 16, 2009

Reference:
The Nexus Between Climate Change and Conflict in the Horn of Africa
Gadaa.com Oduu - News - Hillsboro,USA
By Qeerransoo Biyyaa This article tries to generally explore the nexus
between conflict and climate change and vice versa in Africa. ...(emphasis added).


Climate change has a nexus[1] with conflict in the Horn
According to Qeerransoo Biyyaa--
And we’re assuming that Biyyaa’s assertion
Is not merely a journalistic faux pas.

Keeping in mind all the while that according to the teaser, above,
Qeerransoo only “tries” to explore that nexus
And doesn’t assert categorically that there is one--
An assertion that would most assuredly vex us.

So we will click on the link Google provided
To investigate Biyyaa’s rationale for his/her[2] assertion
That there’s a nexus between climate change and conflict in the Horn--
Assuming that won’t require too much exertion.

Now, having done so we find the following expansion of the teaser
plus citation of a statement from Potus Obama as the (analytical) “point of entry”…

“This article tries to generally explore the nexus between conflict and climate change and vice versa in Africa. In so doing, it uses US President Barrack Obama’s Accra speech as a point of entry. It cites concrete examples from some Horn of African countries and localities.
‘Africa gives off less greenhouse than any other part of the world, but it is the most threatened by climate change. A warming climate will spread disease, shrink water resources, and deplete crops, creating conditions that produce more famine and conflict’, stated Barack Obama in his first speech to the sub-Saharan Africa as the President of the United States of America from Ghana, Accra (emphasis added).

This elaboration of the teaser, alone,
re: the analysis, per se, should be a sufficient cautionary “appriser”,
Indicating, as it does, that Biyyaa cites as an authoritative source re: climate change in Africa
A fellow whose expertise on climate change, per se, stems largely from work as a community organizer.

Moreover, although it’s not clear exactly where this Potus hails “from”--
E.g., Illinois (his most recent home state) or Hawaii (his place of birth)--
It’s something of a stretch to say he’s “the (Potus) from Ghana, Accra” [3]
(Although of members of his extended paternal family residing there, there’s no dearth).

“ . . .In this political speech, President Obama deserves a great credit for generally stating the relationship between conflicts and climate change other than the obvious natural causes of climate change. Do major scale national and international conflicts in the Horn of Africa cause or significantly contribute to climate change? Investigating the correlation and/or causal relationship between conflicts and climate change is up to academic authorities in climate change, but it is my view that the chronic mega conflicts between government and rebels, governments and governments, factions and factions over scarce resources may have substantially contributed to the irreparable destruction of the natural environment thereby rapidly worsening climate crisis on the continent. The question of climate change for Africa is 'to live or not to live' -it is a fight to prevent continental self-annihilation in which the human factor is enormous”.

The interested reader is invited to examine the report in detail
But for present purposes the upshot would seem to be
That as the Horn warms, water resources will become scarcer, leading to conflict for access--
Hence the nexus between the former and the latter is arrived at analytically.

Of course, the writer also acknowledges
That conflict has been characteristic of life in the Horn--
True long before the issue of “climate change” (humankind-caused global warming) surfaced;
And before either Barack or Al Gore, the chief architect of plans to control the climate, was born.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[1] Main Entry:nex·us
Pronunciation: \ˈnek-səs\
Function: noun Inflected Form(s):
plural nex·us·es \-sə-səz\ or nex·us \-səs, -ˌsüs\
Etymology: Latin, from nectere to bind
Date: 1663
1: connection, link ; also : a causal link
2: a connected group or series
http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/nexus

[2] At this juncture, given lack of familiarity with African names,
It is not feasible to speculate as to gender,
That is, as to whether “Qeerransoo” connotes one “rough and ready”
Or one of the genre “lissome and tender”.

Of course, this assumes that “Qeerransoo”
Is the writer’s given name and that “Biyyaa”
Is a surname, distinguishable clearly
From spiritual designations such as, e.g., “Kumbaya”.

Kumbaya - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
"Kumbaya" (also spelled Kum Ba Yah) is a spiritual song from the 1930s.
It enjoyed newfound popularity during the folk revival of the 1960s and became a ...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kumbaya - Cached - Similar -

[3] In the absence of a comma between “America” and “from”
It is not clear whether the writer was making reference
To the place from which Barack’s “first speech” originated (suggested in an earlier reference), or to Barack’s “origin”--
If the latter, then for judicious use of the comma, Biyyaa failed to demonstrate a preference.